Awami League can get 166 seats within the subsequent election
The present ruling political celebration Bangladesh Awami League can get a most of 166 seats within the subsequent parliamentary elections. In addition to, if the elections are free and honest, there isn’t a risk of BNP forming the federal government alone. The celebration can get a most of 137 seats, mentioned Professor Abul Barkat, president of the Bangladesh Financial Affiliation.
In line with the economist, these info have emerged from the analysis executed by analyzing the outcomes of the earlier 4 ‘comparatively good’ elections by ‘understanding the thoughts of the voter’.
This data was offered in a press convention on the auditorium of the Bangladesh Financial Affiliation in Iskaton of the capital on Thursday (October 26).
In line with the outcomes of the analysis, the outcomes of 155 seats out of 300 parliamentary seats within the nation are pretty decided. These are ‘possible win’ seats for events. Out of this, Awami League will get 70 seats and BNP will get 70 seats. Different events will get the remaining 15 seats. Nevertheless, the formation of the federal government is not going to be decided with this seat. The outcomes of the opposite 145 parliamentary constituencies should be trusted.
In addition to, 70 % of the whole 11.9 million voters within the election are celebration loyal voters. 30 % of them belong to Awami League, 30 % to BNP and 10 % to different events. And out of this 30 % voters should not celebration loyal. The outcomes of the research point out that it isn’t predetermined who this swinging 30 % of voters will vote for.
Claiming that Awami League is extra more likely to kind a authorities sooner or later, analysis knowledge says that out of 300 seats, Awami League can get 148 to 166 seats, BNP 119 to 137 seats and different events can get 15 seats. Awami League is extra more likely to kind the federal government primarily based on the attainable outcomes. It’s mentioned that there isn’t a risk for BNP to kind the federal government alone. Though there’s a risk of BNP forming a coalition authorities, it is rather conditional.
Economist claims that the attainable outcomes have been reached by way of logical evaluation strategies. Abul Barkat mentioned that the state of any celebration within the upcoming elections is a matter of nationwide curiosity. The information of the previous few elections have been defined and analyzed. Electoral rigging, farce, coercion, cash video games weren’t discovered within the research.
Mentioning that lengthy open discussions have been held with the individuals of different regions of the nation, he mentioned, the whole analysis has been executed in response to one predominant conclusion. That’s – the following nationwide parliament election will likely be free, honest, neutral and participatory. The place the electoral subject will likely be degree for all events, candidates and voters.
Concerning the objective of the analysis, Abul Barkat mentioned, nobody has executed this analysis. 100% non-public initiative. Six months in the past, it appeared that lots would occur across the election. No different particular person, apart from me, has something to do with the analysis of the Financial Affiliation. Economics Affiliation has organized solely to current the analysis outcomes.